The NBA Playoffs was boring, a minimum of in accordance with the skeptics. Upsets had been few and much between, one of the best crew was decided by who had one of the best particular person participant, and one of the best crew nearly at all times gained. NBA followers endured 4 years of the Golden State Warriors vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers within the NBA Finals. With Kevin Durant within the Bay, the dream of NBA parity felt additional out of attain than ever earlier than.
NBA historical past has been outlined by dynasties, from Russell and Chicken’s Celtics to Magic and Kobe’s Lakers to Jordan’s Bulls to Duncan’s Spurs to Curry’s Warriors. That period of the league might not be gone endlessly, but when nothing else it’s been placed on indefinite hiatus.
NBA parity is right here, and it’s superb. The league has topped a distinct champion in every of the final six seasons, with the Toronto Raptors, Los Angeles Lakers, Milwaukee Bucks, Golden State Warriors, Denver Nuggets, and Boston Celtics every claiming the title. The final time that occurred in league historical past was 1975-1980.
The Celtics enter the 2025 NBA Playoffs hoping to be the primary crew to win back-to-back championships since Durant and Curry’s Warriors. Boston is likely one of the favorites, however its path to a title needs to be rather more tough than the cakewalk it had final yr.
The primary spherical of the 2025 NBA Playoffs start on Saturday. Let’s make picks for each first spherical collection, and predict the remainder of the bracket.
NBA Playoffs 2025: First spherical picks and predictions
The No. 8 seed within the East and West have but to be decided at time of publishing.
Western Convention
Prediction: No. 1 seed Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder advance in a sweep.
No. 2 seed Houston Rockets vs. No. 7 seed Golden State Warriors: That is going to be a tremendous collection. The Rockets have youth, measurement, and athleticism on their aspect. The Warriors have the two greatest gamers within the collection in Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler, however there’s little doubt that Golden State is smaller, slower, and creakier bodily. I’ve modified my thoughts on this 10 instances already. Can Amen Thompson lock down Curry for an entire collection like he did within the common season? Can the Rockets rating sufficient within the halfcourt and not using a true star? Will Alperen Şengün abuse the Warriors’ small ball lineup? I’m anticipating an instantaneous basic. Prediction: Warriors in 7.
No. 3 seed Los Angeles Lakers vs. No. 6 seed Minnesota Timberwolves: It nonetheless doesn’t make any sense that the Lakers have Luka Doncic, and it by no means will. This roster nonetheless felt too flawed to me after the commerce due to the shortage of a starting-caliber large man, however head coach JJ Redick has achieved an important job arising with inventive defensive options. Rudy Gobert isn’t going to punish the Lakers protection, and I believe LA’s traps might give Anthony Edwards some bother. We already know Jaden McDaniels can’t guard Luka within the playoffs after final yr’s Western Convention Finals. This additionally feels prefer it might be a giant Austin Reaves collection. Prediction: Lakers in 6.
No. 4 seed Denver Nuggets vs. No. 5 seed Los Angeles Clippers: One other wonderful collection. Nikola Jokic is popping in an all-time season, ending top-3 in factors, rebounds, assists, and steals whereas taking pictures almost 42 p.c from three. The remainder of the Nuggets are fairly uninspiring, and the truth that they’ve had a brand new head coach for the final three video games doesn’t precisely carry confidence. The Clippers are rolling. The James Harden-Ivica Zubac pick-and-roll has been devastating all season. Kawhi Leonard is again and enjoying large minutes at a excessive degree. The perimeter defenders get after it, and Norm Powell can catch fireplace in a rush. The Clippers have the higher crew, however believing in them to win this collection means believing Leonard can keep wholesome the complete method by (which hasn’t occurred within the playoffs since 2020) and that Harden can overcome his long-standing playoff demons. The chips are stacked towards Jokic right here, but when Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordan can step up, I nonetheless like their possibilities. Prediction: Nuggets in 7.
Jap Convention
No. 1 seed Cleveland Cavaliers advance in a sweep.
No. 2 seed Boston Celtics vs. No. 7 seed Orlando Magic: The Magic might be so significantly better, however their historic lack of taking pictures and failure to optimize Paolo Banchero’s touches have made this a forgettable season. Please Orlando, observe the Pistons’ path of including veteran shooters this summer time! The Celtics are a juggernaut even with Jaylen Brown’s knee a bit cumbersome proper now. Prediction: Celtics in 5.
No. 3 seed New York Knicks vs. No. 6 seed Detroit Pistons: The Pistons are only a nice story, going from a 14-win crew final yr to a 44-win crew this yr. Cade Cunningham is prepared for his playoff popping out celebration to cement himself as one of many NBA’s greatest guards of the subsequent technology. The Knicks went 0-10 towards the top-3 groups within the NBA this yr, however the Pistons aren’t at that degree. New York has 4 of the 5 greatest gamers within the collection at minimal. It is a nice season for Detroit no matter the way it ends. Prediction: Knicks in 6.
No. 4 seed Indiana Pacers vs. No. 5 seed Milwaukee Bucks: The Bucks and Pacers have an exquisite little rivalry rising, from game-ball gate to the Pacers utilizing a soccer play to win a daily season matchup that gave them homecourt benefit on this collection. Damian Lillard is at present out with a blood clot, but it surely’s doable he might play in some unspecified time in the future on this collection. With Dame, this seems like a toss up. With out him, the Pacers simply really feel just like the extra full crew with a extra explosive offense. Indiana’s protection is way improved since final yr, they usually have sufficient our bodies to attempt to decelerate Giannis Antetokounmpo a minimum of a bit bit. Can Giannis win this collection by himself? Like Jokic vs. the Clippers, I wouldn’t put it previous him, however with out Dame the duty is simply an excessive amount of. Prediction: Pacers in 6.
NBA Playoffs 2025: Champion and convention finals predictions
There’s my full bracket. Let’s go over a number of the large themes.
- I just like the Warriors in collection towards the Lakers, however I’d take the Lakers over the Rockets. The Houston-Golden State first-round collection is such a toss up that it feels further daring to select the Warriors to the Western Convention Finals, however that’s the best way I’m leaning.
- Cavs-Pacers might be an important second spherical collection within the East. Don’t overlook that the Pacers made the Jap Convention Finals final yr, and this crew is significantly better defensively, and has Tyrese Haliburton enjoying his greatest ball on the proper time. I see Cavs-Pacers being extra aggressive than Celtics-Knicks. Nonetheless, I’m going Cleveland.
- It’s going to be an enormous upset if the Jap Convention Finals is something apart from Cavs-Celtics. I’m choosing Celtics in 7 immediately basic. Boston has the personnel to frustrate Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland on offense whereas focusing on them defensively. This might be an enormous Kristaps Porzingis collection to tug Cleveland’s twin towers out of the paint. If Porzingis goes down with an harm, this collection swings to the Cavs in my view.
NBA Finals 2025 predictions and picks
I’m going with Thunder over Celtics in six.
The Thunder have two large inquiries to me coming into the playoffs:
- Can they maintain forcing turnovers on protection at a historic charge?
- Can Jalen Williams or Chet Holmgren step up as a secondary creator within the halfcourt?
These are large points. A crew just like the Lakers with two nice ball handlers in Luka Doncic and LeBron James might give OKC some bother. I believe J-Dub and Chet are able to step up, however the spacing can get a bit cramped when the Thunder play their two large lineup (Holmgren + Isaiah Hartenstein) that they’ve been utilizing regularly to finish the season.
Nonetheless, I’m optimistic on the Thunder as a result of I consider in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s greatness, they really feel much less reliant on the three-point shot than final yr (when OKC noticed it’s three-point proportion drop from 38.9 p.c within the season to 34 p.c within the playoffs), and the addition of Hartenstein can alleviate the defensive rebounding considerations. Preserving Alex Caruso recent for the playoffs ought to pay main dividends. There’s simply no weak hyperlink on this protection to assault. If protection wins championships (phrase to Nico Harrison) and superstars carry you throughout the end line, OKC has the correct combo with Shai (my Finals MVP choose) main the best way.
