Thursday, July 31, 2025

CONCACAF Gold Cup: Towards a surging USMNT, right here’s why it is best to again Mexico to take dwelling one other crown

On Thursday, Mexico ahead Raúl Jiménez instructed a bunch of reporters that relating to Sunday’s Gold Cup title sport in Houston (7 p.m., FOX) whereas he respects the USA’ males’s nationwide workforce, on the finish of the day, “finals are there to be gained.”

And regardless of a pristine file within the group stage and besting each Costa Rica and Guatemala on its strategy to going after what can be its eighth Gold Cup crown, when paired towards Mexico, the U.S. is a squad that appears like its time would possibly’ve run out.

Statistically, the People are well-matched towards Mexico, with midfielders like Diego Luna and Malik Tillman main the way in which with three objectives apiece, none extra thrilling than Luna’s brace within the semifinal that turned him into an in a single day sensation.

However this sport goes to return right down to how nicely the U.S. can reply defensively to a Mexico assault spearheaded by César Montes, who additionally enters with three objectives on this event and was instrumental in Mexico coming into the match as nicely with an unblemished file (4-0-1).

Additionally El Tri enter the match with an all-time edge over American squads each on this event and in all-time conferences that frankly have boasted higher U.S. rosters than this one.

With that mentioned, it’s anybody’s guess however right here’s why backing Mexico isn’t a nasty one.

Mexico v Honduras - Gold Cup 2025: Semifinal

Edson Alvarez was a key element in Mexico’s victory towards Honduras.
Photograph by Robbie Jay Barratt – AMA/Getty Pictures

Scouting Mexico

Right here’s a stat for you: The U.S. has performed its neighbors to the South 79 occasions with Mexico celebrating a win 38 occasions, scoring over 150 objectives in that span. Head coach Javier Aguirre would love to increase it to 39, marking his return with one other Gold Cup win for his nation since he final took the workforce to the ultimate, and gained it, in 2009.

After which there’s additionally world famend goalkeeper Guillermo “Memo” Ochoa, who regardless of not enjoying many minutes, has been a motivator on the sidelines and has been aside of a lot of these championships. This would be the twelfth Gold Cup remaining for the Mexicans, and though the U.S. has appeared in additional (13), it’s been Mexico who’ve walked away with the trophy extra occasions.

Finest bets

The way you wager on this one is determined by how a lot enjoyable you wish to have. Proper now, the road on Fanduel has it +145 in favor of El Tri, however there’s a teasing five-leg identical sport parlay that has the U.S. because the moneyline, a primary half that goes scoreless, Tillman to bag a purpose, each groups getting on the board ultimately and an over/beneath of three.5 objectives. At +2185, it’s arduous to move up.

Additionally, 2-1 as the right rating is at +1100, however ought to this one go in to extras, take into account 1-1 at +500 and hope for an exhilarating shootout.

Fanduel is providing a bit extra incentive too with its No Sweat Wager on any wager on this sport and so they’re additionally providing a 30% revenue increase for individuals who opt-in prior to creating their wager.

Prediction

We’ve predicted each U.S. match on this race and have solely come up small as soon as, after we thought their luck would run out towards Costa Rica, earlier than goalkeeper Matt Freese would supply the luck the People wanted within the shootout. Nevertheless, Mexico regardless of being one of many youngest El Tri rosters in latest reminiscence are good and technical sufficient to thwart the People and seize one other crown. We’re taking Mexico to win, 2-1 — in a shootout.

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